12 Hawthorn Avenue, Hengoed, CF82 7JT

UPRN:43020411Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: D (58)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£178,000

£142k - £213kLow

Estimate

£178k

Range

£142k – £213k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£750

£700 - £800

Monthly

£750

Yield

6.93%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

12 Hawthorn Avenue earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 77/100. Investment score 78/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

77/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

78/ 100

High

Crime Score

30/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 27% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [sold-comps +27.0%, £/sqft +27.1%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; AVM excluded (estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor)
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 20.9%· as of 1 Nov 2026
Rental economics14.4/40
gross yield 6.9%; range width penalty ×0.93; the estimate this rent rides on sits 27% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 750/mo (range 700-800)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 27% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -127/mo, -17% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 79 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity9.3/15
197 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 40%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£97,500£149,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£129,950

At the asking price

Monthly rent£750/mo

Evidenced range £700-£800

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £40,385
Net cash flow: £81/mo
Cash on cash: 2.4%
Score at this price: 26

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.71 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 20.9%Valuation edge · as of 1 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 750/mo (range 700-800)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 27% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 750/mo (range 700-800)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 27% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£178,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£750

Gross Yield6.93%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+3.9%

5y Growth+4.0%

10y Growth+4.7%

Last Sold Price£77,000 (2019-08-07)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningModerate
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CF82 7JT

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0714/HH
Erect first floor rear extension
Pending
26/0701/RET
Retain siting of an InPost Parcel Locker
Pending
26/0658/ADV
Install fascia sign and laundry kiosk branding and services on acrylic panels
Pending

View Planning Timeline