Capella, Princes Avenue, Caerphilly, CF83 1HR

UPRN:43025512Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: D (61)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Capella, Princes Avenue, Caerphilly, CF83 1HR

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£605,000

£575k - £636kHigh

Estimate

£605k

Range

£575k – £636k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,700

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£2,700

Yield

5.18%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Capella earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 69/100. Investment score 71/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

69/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

71/ 100

High

Crime Score

57/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -3.3% (HIGH), sold-comps -8.7%, £/sqft -8.7%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43025512· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 21.7%· as of 24 Oct 2026
Rental economics1.3/40
gross yield 5.2%; range width penalty ×0.87
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2700/mo (range 2500-2950)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -782/mo, -29% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 79 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
552 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£469,000£719,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£625,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,700/mo

Evidenced range £2,500-£2,950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £210,050
Net cash flow: -£240/mo
Cash on cash: -1.4%
Score at this price: 16

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.28 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43025512Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 21.7%Valuation edge · as of 24 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2700/mo (range 2500-2950)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2700/mo (range 2500-2950)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 79 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£605,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,700

Gross Yield5.18%

1y Growth+4.0%

3y Growth+3.9%

5y Growth+5.6%

10y Growth+4.8%

Last Sold Price£575,000 (2024-03-01)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CF83 1HR

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0697/FULL
Erect two storey and single storey rear extensions with internal alterations to extend an existing two storey dental practice, works include the erection of a detached refuse storage area
Pending
26/0680/COND
Discharge conditions 17 (Scheme for control of odour), 19 (Illumination- site lighting), 25 (Travel plan (commercial development) and 27 (Odour - ventilation scheme) of planning consent 24/0120/LA (Erect new leisure and wellbeing hub including swimming pool, studios and fitness suite, along with associated car parking and landscaping)
Pending
26/0678/COU
Change the use of retail unit (Use Class A1) to café (Use Class A3)
Pending

View Planning Timeline