11 St Rhidian Close, Pontllanfraith, Blackwood, NP12 2FF

UPRN:43054433End Terrace House3 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: -

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

11 St Rhidian Close, Pontllanfraith, Blackwood, NP12 2FF

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£201,000

£181k - £221kMedium

Estimate

£201k

Range

£181k – £221k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,200

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,200

Yield

6.40%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

11 St Rhidian Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 69/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

69/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

46/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 31 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-0.6/15
claims [AVM -11.9% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge -0.12pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43054433· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics10.7/40
gross yield 6.4%; range width penalty ×0.95
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1200/mo (range 1100-1250)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 31 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -197/mo, -16% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 31 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 135 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 31 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
289 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£168,500£258,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£224,950

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,200/mo

Evidenced range £1,100-£1,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £70,785
Net cash flow: £72/mo
Cash on cash: 1.2%
Score at this price: 23

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.58 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43054433Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1200/mo (range 1100-1250)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 31 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 31 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 31 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1200/mo (range 1100-1250)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
listing text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£201,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,200

Gross Yield6.40%

1y Growth-11.8%

3y Growth+5.8%

5y Growth+3.7%

10y Growth+5.5%

Last Sold Price£129,950 (2006-04-18)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP12 2FF

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0705/COND
Discharge condition 11 (Waste commercial) of planning consent 25/0494/FULL (Demolish existing bus depot building, regrading of site and erect a Class A1 retail foodstore with surface level car parking, landscaping, and all associated drainage and engineering operations and service connections)
Pending
26/0685/NCC
Vary condition 02 (Approved Plans) of Planning Consent 26/0260/FULL (Refurbish Unit 5 and Unit 6/7 including external amalgamation works to create 1 no. retail unit for continued use within Class A1, erect a rear extension, relocated customer entrance/exit, new condenser plant, new trolley shelters, and all associated works)
Pending
26/0596/HH
Erect two storey side extension and a single storey rear extension
Pending

View Planning Timeline