29 Cilgerran Way, Grove Park, Blackwood, NP12 1GF

UPRN:43055802Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (72)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

29 Cilgerran Way, Grove Park, Blackwood, NP12 1GF

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£597,000

£567k - £627kHigh

Estimate

£597k

Range

£567k – £627k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,850

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,850

Yield

3.70%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

29 Cilgerran Way earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 82/100. Investment score 72/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

82/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

72/ 100

High

Crime Score

13/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.5% (HIGH), sold-comps -7.1%, £/sqft -7.1%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43055802· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17%· as of 28 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.7%; range width penalty ×0.71
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1850/mo (range 1600-2050)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,302/mo, -70% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 68 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
289 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£450,000£690,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£600,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,850/mo

Evidenced range £1,600-£2,050

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £201,300
Net cash flow: -£744/mo
Cash on cash: -4.4%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.91 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43055802Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17%Valuation edge · as of 28 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1850/mo (range 1600-2050)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1850/mo (range 1600-2050)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 68 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£597,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,850

Gross Yield3.70%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+5.8%

5y Growth+3.7%

10y Growth+5.5%

Last Sold Price£155,000 (2000-08-22)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP12 1GF

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0719/NMA
Seek approval of a non-material amendment to planning consent 19/1024/RM (Seek approval of the reserved matters regarding details of appearance, landscaping, layout and scale of planning consent 15/0252/OUT (granted on appeal reference APP/K6920/A/15/3137884) (Erect residential development, public open space, landscaping, highway improvements and associated engineering works with all matters reserved except for access) (as renewed by planning consent 18/1059/NCC)) to amend the approved retaining wall arrangement serving plots 150-158 to provide a PHI permacrib interlocking timber retaining wall together with associated land regrading, landscaping, drainage and boundary treatment
Pending
26/0683/RET
Retain the widening of the existing 9 metres farm entrance to 20 metres and retain track
Pending
26/0616/HH
Erect two storey side extension and detached double garage with car port
Pending

View Planning Timeline