The Hollies, Machen, Caerphilly, CF83 8RQ

UPRN:43060501-Beds -Built -

Tenure: -Council Tax: -EPC: -

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

The Hollies, Machen, Caerphilly, CF83 8RQ

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

14 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,089,000

£871k - £1.31MLow

Estimate

£1.09M

Range

£871k – £1.31M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£4,900

£4k - £5k

Monthly

£4,900

Yield

5.35%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

The Hollies earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 81/100. Investment score 67/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

81/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

67/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

16/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Not scored as an opportunity

We will not put a number on this one.

headline score requires valuation_edge (estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor)

What we could establish

Rental economics2.3/40
gross yield 5.3%; range width penalty ×0.83
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4900/mo (range 4450-5350)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,169/mo, -24% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity9.2/15
552 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 40%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

Withholding a score is deliberate. A number built on missing or stale inputs would look more certain than the evidence allows.

Economics

What happens to your money

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,100,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£4,900/mo

Evidenced range £4,450-£5,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £385,050
Net cash flow: -£320/mo
Cash on cash: -1.0%
Score at this price: -

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.32 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4900/mo (range 4450-5350)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth Valuation methodology

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Valuation edge could not be scored
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 4900/mo (range 4450-5350)

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Fill the valuation edge gap before relying on the score.
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,089,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£4,900

Gross Yield5.35%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+3.9%

5y Growth+5.6%

10y Growth+4.8%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1CF83 8RQ

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

26/0695/COND
Discharge condition 03 (Bio enhancement) of planning consent 26/0528/HH (Demolish existing lean-to rear extension, raise ridge height, erect first-floor front extension, convert loft to include two dormers to the front and two dormers to the rear and associated landscaping works, including extending the existing terrace to the front)
Pending
26/0528/HH
Demolish existing lean-to rear extension, raise ridge height, erect first-floor front extension, convert loft to include two dormers to the front and two dormers to the rear and associated landscaping works, including extending the existing terrace to the front
Approved
26/0319/HH
Erect side extension and alterations to existing roof
Approved

View Planning Timeline