23 Waungoch Road, Oakdale, Blackwood, NP12 0LJ

UPRN:43061670Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt -

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: -

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

23 Waungoch Road, Oakdale, Blackwood, NP12 0LJ

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: AVOID, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Significant risk factors

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£209,000

£199k - £220kHigh

Estimate

£209k

Range

£199k – £220k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,100

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,100

Yield

6.29%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

23 Waungoch Road earns an AVOID rating with HP Score 80/100. Investment score 65/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

80/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

65/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

19/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.5% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43061670· as of 10 Nov 2026
Rental economics9.5/40
gross yield 6.3%; range width penalty ×0.93
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1100/mo (range 1000-1150)· as of 10 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 4 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -207/mo, -19% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 74 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
289 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£157,500£241,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£210,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,100/mo

Evidenced range £1,000-£1,150

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £66,000
Net cash flow: £53/mo
Cash on cash: 1.0%
Score at this price: 24

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.55 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43061670Valuation edge · as of 10 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1100/mo (range 1000-1150)Rental economics · as of 10 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 4 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1100/mo (range 1000-1150)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
listing text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£209,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,100

Gross Yield6.29%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+5.8%

5y Growth+3.7%

10y Growth+5.5%

Last Sold Price£64,995 (2001-09-14)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP12 0LJ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0702/HH
Convert existing garage into living space and construct a new garage adjacent to property
Pending
26/0632/COU
Change the use of existing property into three dwellings & extension to front elevation
Pending
26/0617/RET
Retain construction of raised decking in rear garden
Pending

View Planning Timeline