15 Clos Maes Mawr, Energlyn, Caerphilly, CF83 2UY

UPRN:43080280Detached House4 bedsBuilt 2003-2006

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (77)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

15 Clos Maes Mawr, Energlyn, Caerphilly, CF83 2UY

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£657,000

£624k - £690kHigh

Estimate

£657k

Range

£624k – £690k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,950

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£2,950

Yield

5.45%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 Clos Maes Mawr earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 69/100. Investment score 63/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

69/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

63/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

36/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +1.1% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43080280· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics3.1/40
gross yield 5.4%; range width penalty ×0.86
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2950/mo (range 2700-3200)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -704/mo, -24% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 33 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
552 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£487,500£747,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£650,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,950/mo

Evidenced range £2,700-£3,200

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £218,800
Net cash flow: -£151/mo
Cash on cash: -0.8%
Score at this price: 18

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.34 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43080280Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2950/mo (range 2700-3200)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2950/mo (range 2700-3200)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 33 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£657,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,950

Gross Yield5.45%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+3.9%

5y Growth+5.6%

10y Growth+4.8%

Last Sold Price£367,500 (2006-11-17)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CF83 2UY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0664/RET
Retain and complete the change of use from B8 (Storage & Distribution) to A3 (Food & Drink)
Pending
26/0644/COND
Discharge condition 07 (Landscaping) of planning consent 25/0382/NCC (Vary conditions 02 (Plans) and 03 (Approval of the Proposed Amendments of Some of External Materials) of planning consent 20/0634/COU (Change use and erect extension at Y Fron from Guest House (C1) to HMO to be used for Emergency Housing/Move on Accommodation (Sui Generis) and associated works) to amend plans)
Pending
26/0629/FULL
Install two roller-shutter doors and two pedestrian-access doors within the southern side elevation, removal of an existing fire exit door and associated external alterations
Pending

View Planning Timeline