24 North Rising, Pontlottyn, Bargoed, CF81 9PA

UPRN:43086315Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (70)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 6mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

24 North Rising, Pontlottyn, Bargoed, CF81 9PA

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£285,000

£271k - £300kHigh

Estimate

£285k

Range

£271k – £300k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,300

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,300

Yield

4.52%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

24 North Rising earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 70/100. Investment score 76/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

70/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

76/ 100

High

Crime Score

45/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -21.1% (HIGH)] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43086315· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.5%; range width penalty ×0.89
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1300/mo (range 1200-1400)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -630/mo, -48% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 58 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
142 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£259,000£396,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£345,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,300/mo

Evidenced range £1,200-£1,400

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £112,050
Net cash flow: -£264/mo
Cash on cash: -2.8%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.12 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43086315Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1300/mo (range 1200-1400)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1300/mo (range 1200-1400)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 58 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£285,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,300

Gross Yield4.52%

1y Growth-67.3%

3y Growth+2.1%

5y Growth+4.7%

10y Growth+5.8%

Last Sold Price£163,000 (2015-02-20)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1CF81 9PA

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0656/FULL
Erect conservatory to rear of property
Approved
26/0589/COU
Change the use of bungalow (Class C3) to a care home (Class C2)
Pending
26/0550/RET
Retain the siting of 2 No. external air condensing units
Approved

View Planning Timeline