2 Fern Cottages, Pentrapeod Road, Aberbeeg, Abertillery, NP13 2DL

UPRN:43088203Mid Terrace House3 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: F (24)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

2 Fern Cottages, Pentrapeod Road, Aberbeeg, Abertillery, NP13 2DL

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

15 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£161,000

£153k - £169kHigh

Estimate

£161k

Range

£153k – £169k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,250

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,250

Yield

10.79%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

2 Fern Cottages earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 82/100. Investment score 71/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

82/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

71/ 100

High

Crime Score

16/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +13.7% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43088203· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics40/40
gross yield 10.8%; range width penalty ×1.00
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1200-1300)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin16.2/30
stressed cash flow +202/mo, +16% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 69 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
196 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 80+ up to £111,000

£104,000£160,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£139,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,250/mo

Evidenced range £1,200-£1,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £43,280
Net cash flow: £396/mo
Cash on cash: 11.0%
Score at this price: 71

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.66 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43088203Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1200-1300)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1250/mo (range 1200-1300)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 69 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £111,000 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
4. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£161,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,250

Gross Yield10.79%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+6.2%

5y Growth+6.2%

10y Growth+6.2%

Last Sold Price£113,500 (2022-08-19)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP13 2DL

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0476/RM
Seek approval of the reserved matters in respect of landscaping, scale, appearance and layout details of planning consent 22/0718/OUT (Erect residential development along with associated infrastructure in order to facilitate improvement of the club)
Pending
26/0474/COND
Discharge conditions 8 (Contamination - scheme to treat), 13 (Habitat Management Plan), 14 (Biodiversity Drainage Scheme), 16 (Biodiversity Strategy) and 18 (Japanese Knotweed) of planning consent 22/0718/OUT (Erect residential development along with associated infrastructure in order to facilitate improvement of the club)
Approved
26/0335/FULL
Erect new agricultural building and associated works
Approved

View Planning Timeline