New House, Penmaen Villas, Penmaen, Blackwood, NP12 0DL

UPRN:43088408Detached HouseBeds -Built 1996-2002

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: B (82)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 6mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

New House, Penmaen Villas, Penmaen, Blackwood, NP12 0DL

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£473,000

£449k - £496kHigh

Estimate

£473k

Range

£449k – £496k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,450

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,450

Yield

3.66%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

New House earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 82/100. Investment score 79/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

82/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

79/ 100

High

Crime Score

21/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 31 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.4% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43088408· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.7%; range width penalty ×0.79
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1450/mo (range 1300-1600)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,068/mo, -74% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 31 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 99 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 31 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
289 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£356,000£546,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£475,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,450/mo

Evidenced range £1,300-£1,600

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £157,550
Net cash flow: -£599/mo
Cash on cash: -4.6%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.90 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43088408Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1450/mo (range 1300-1600)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 31 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 31 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1450/mo (range 1300-1600)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 99 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£473,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,450

Gross Yield3.66%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+5.8%

5y Growth+3.7%

10y Growth+5.5%

Last Sold Price£110,000 (1998-04-07)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1NP12 0DL

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0719/NMA
Seek approval of a non-material amendment to planning consent 19/1024/RM (Seek approval of the reserved matters regarding details of appearance, landscaping, layout and scale of planning consent 15/0252/OUT (granted on appeal reference APP/K6920/A/15/3137884) (Erect residential development, public open space, landscaping, highway improvements and associated engineering works with all matters reserved except for access) (as renewed by planning consent 18/1059/NCC)) to amend the approved retaining wall arrangement serving plots 150-158 to provide a PHI permacrib interlocking timber retaining wall together with associated land regrading, landscaping, drainage and boundary treatment
Pending
26/0632/COU
Change the use of existing property into three dwellings & extension to front elevation
Pending
26/0510/NCC
Vary condition 01 of planning consent 21/0843/FULL (Erect 2 bedroomed detached house with associated parking and external works) to have an additional 5 years to commence works
Pending

View Planning Timeline