Tir Jack Bungalow, Bron Las, Penpedairheol, Hengoed, CF82 8BS

UPRN:43088430Detached Property3 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: -

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Tir Jack Bungalow, Bron Las, Penpedairheol, Hengoed, CF82 8BS

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

15 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£302,000

£287k - £317kHigh

Estimate

£302k

Range

£287k – £317k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,000

£900 - £1k

Monthly

£1,000

Yield

2.53%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Tir Jack Bungalow earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 84/100. Investment score 70/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

84/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

70/ 100

High

Crime Score

9/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -57.3% (HIGH)] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43088430· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 2.5%; range width penalty ×0.80
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1000/mo (range 900-1100)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,399/mo, -140% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 65 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
197 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£356,000£546,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£475,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,000/mo

Evidenced range £900-£1,100

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £157,550
Net cash flow: -£911/mo
Cash on cash: -6.9%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.62 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43088430Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1000/mo (range 900-1100)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1000/mo (range 900-1100)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 65 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£302,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,000

Gross Yield2.53%

1y Growth+8.4%

3y Growth+3.9%

5y Growth+4.0%

10y Growth+4.7%

Last Sold Price£275,000 (2024-08-16)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CF82 8BS

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0610/RET
Retain and complete the construction of a detached garage
Pending
26/0587/NMA
Seek approval of a non-material amendment to planning consent 26/0403/HH (Erect two storey side extension) to amend extension width from 2100mm to be 2700mm
Approved
26/0585/HH
Convert existing garage to living accommodation
Pending

View Planning Timeline