39 Dunlin Drive, St. Marys Island, Chatham, ME4 3JA

UPRN:44028404Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 2012-2021

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (74)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

39 Dunlin Drive, St. Marys Island, Chatham, ME4 3JA

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£256,000

£243k - £269kHigh

Estimate

£256k

Range

£243k – £269k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,300

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,300

Yield

6.37%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

39 Dunlin Drive earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 74/100. Investment score 67/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (29/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

74/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

67/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

5/ 100

Low

Walkability

29/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 4Bike 52

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +4.3% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 44028404· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics9.8/40
gross yield 6.4%; range width penalty ×0.89
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1300/mo (range 1200-1400)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -421/mo, -32% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 205 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
333 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£184,000£282,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£245,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,300/mo

Evidenced range £1,200-£1,400

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £77,200
Net cash flow: £73/mo
Cash on cash: 1.1%
Score at this price: 24

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.57 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 44028404Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1300/mo (range 1200-1400)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1300/mo (range 1200-1400)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 205 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£256,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,300

Gross Yield6.37%

1y Growth+5.9%

3y Growth-2.7%

5y Growth-0.4%

10y Growth+3.1%

Last Sold Price£205,000 (2015-05-29)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningModerate
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0ME4 3JA

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

MC/26/2085
Retrospective application for replacement and extension of rear existing garden patio area
Pending
MC/26/2048
Removal and replacement of existing cladding systems and associated facade components with non-combustible materials, installation of cavity barriers and fire-stopping, localised remediation to masonry and rendered wall systems, replacement and remediation of glazed spandrel panels, and associated ancillary works.
Pending
MC/26/1995
Retrospective application for that replacement of window to French doors to rear
Pending

View Planning Timeline