7 Ernest Road, Chatham, ME4 5PT

UPRN:44050899Mid Terrace House3 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: D (65)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

5 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£249,000

£236k - £261kHigh

Estimate

£249k

Range

£236k – £261k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,550

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,550

Yield

7.75%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

7 Ernest Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 70/100. Investment score 58/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is good (83/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

70/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

58/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

50/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

83/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 23Bike 52

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +3.6% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 44050899· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics22/40
gross yield 7.8%; range width penalty ×1.00
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1550/mo (range 1500-1650)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 3 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -3/mo, -0% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 155 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
333 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 70+ up to £180,000

£180,000£276,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£240,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,550/mo

Evidenced range £1,500-£1,650

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £75,600
Net cash flow: £263/mo
Cash on cash: 4.2%
Score at this price: 37

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.91 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 44050899Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1550/mo (range 1500-1650)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 3 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1550/mo (range 1500-1650)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
listing text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £180,000 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
4. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£249,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,550

Gross Yield7.75%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-2.7%

5y Growth-0.4%

10y Growth+3.1%

Last Sold Price£195,000 (2018-12-18)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningSignificant
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0ME4 5PT

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

MC/26/2135
Prior notification for change of use from doctors surgery to five residential flats at first floor level (Class C3)
Pending
MC/26/2089
Construction of a single storey side and part rear infill wraparound extension (Demolition of existing conservatory)
Pending
MC/26/2081
Prior approval for the enlargement of a dwelling by construction of an additional storey. The maximum height proposed is 7.5m
Pending

View Planning Timeline