The Paddocks, Vicarage Lane, Upper Stoke, Rochester, ME3 9SB

UPRN:44114646Detached House5 bedsBuilt 2007-2011

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (73)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· freshRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

The Paddocks, Vicarage Lane, Upper Stoke, Rochester, ME3 9SB

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£810,000

£729k - £892kMedium

Estimate

£810k

Range

£729k – £892k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,900

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£2,900

Yield

4.09%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

The Paddocks earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 60/100. Investment score 62/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (10/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

60/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

62/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

13/ 100

Low

Walkability

10/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 3Bike 24

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -4.9% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 44114646· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.1%; range width penalty ×0.75
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2900/mo (range 2600-3250)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,584/mo, -55% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 30 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
293 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£637,500£977,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£850,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,900/mo

Evidenced range £2,600-£3,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £288,800
Net cash flow: -£861/mo
Cash on cash: -3.6%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.01 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 44114646Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2900/mo (range 2600-3250)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2900/mo (range 2600-3250)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 30 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£810,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,900

Gross Yield4.09%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.1%

5y Growth+1.7%

10y Growth+3.7%

Last Sold Price£456,000 (2013-05-31)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0ME3 9SB

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

MC/25/2353
Change of use of grass verge to a vehicle crossover and hardstanding
Conditions
MC/25/2257
Details pursuant to condition 11 (hard and soft landscaping), 12 (boundary treatment) and 13 (Ecological enhancement plan) on planning permission MC/24/1721 for Construction of detached dwelling
Decided
MC/25/2045
Alterations and extensions to include the demolition of the existing detached garage and rear single-storey extension; construction of single and two storey extensions at the side and rear to provide additional habitable accommodation; construction of a detached garage; access driveway and garden paths; construction of 3 outbuildings.
Rejected

View Planning Timeline