30 Waterbury Road, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE3 5AJ

UPRN:4510053286Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: D (65)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

30 Waterbury Road, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE3 5AJ

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£410,000

£369k - £450kMedium

Estimate

£410k

Range

£369k – £450k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,050

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,050

Yield

7.03%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

30 Waterbury Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 78/100. Investment score 72/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (46/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

78/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

72/ 100

High

Crime Score

6/ 100

Low

Walkability

46/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 9Bike 55

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +14.6% (MEDIUM), sold-comps +14.0%, £/sqft +14.0%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 4510053286· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 10 comps, dispersion 14.3%· as of 30 Oct 2026
Rental economics14.7/40
gross yield 7.0%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2050/mo (range 1900-2200)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -100/mo, -5% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 72 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
542 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£262,500£402,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£350,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,050/mo

Evidenced range £1,900-£2,200

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £113,800
Net cash flow: £238/mo
Cash on cash: 2.5%
Score at this price: 30

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.74 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 4510053286Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 10 comps, dispersion 14.3%Valuation edge · as of 30 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2050/mo (range 1900-2200)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2050/mo (range 1900-2200)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 72 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£410,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,050

Gross Yield7.03%

1y Growth+5.7%

3y Growth+5.0%

5y Growth+3.4%

10y Growth+2.5%

Last Sold Price£240,000 (2009-12-18)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NE3 5AJ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2025/1457/03/NMA
Non-Material Amendment: (Introduction of small section of flat roof) to Planning Permission 2025/1457/01/HOU dated 23/10/2025 - Erection of a single storey extension to rear; pitched roof, alterations to elevations
Pending
2026/0853/01/HOU
Erection of porch with flat roof to front with 330mm steps
Pending
2026/0825/01/TPO
TPO Application: Cherry spp - Prune tree ( 1975/001.T56)
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership53.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2009-12-18
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

16 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£30,144

Population Density4,753 /km²

Owner Occupied94%

Age Distribution

0-15 17%16-64 53%65+ 30%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Brunton First School
0.6 mi
-
Gosforth Park First School
0.7 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Grange First School
0.8 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
St Oswald's Catholic Primary School, Gosforth
0.8 mi
Good

5 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

19 Waterbury Road
-
£410k
-
6 Waterbury Road
-
£354k
-
26 Waterbury Road
-
£335k
-
7 Waterbury Road
-
£378k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN