78 Avalon Drive, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE15 7SF

UPRN:4510082410Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band AEPC: D (67)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 5mo ago

78 Avalon Drive, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE15 7SF

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

5 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£86,000

£78k - £95kMedium

Estimate

£86k

Range

£78k – £95k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£650

£650 - £700

Monthly

£650

Yield

9.18%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

78 Avalon Drive earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 69/100. Investment score 61/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (28/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

69/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

61/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

13/ 100

Low

Walkability

28/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 11Bike 29

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +1.2% (MEDIUM), sold-comps +5.6%, £/sqft +5.1%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 4510082410· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 18%· as of 30 Oct 2026
Rental economics33.5/40
gross yield 9.2%; range width penalty ×1.00
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 650/mo (range 650-700)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -51/mo, -8% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 36 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
333 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£63,500£97,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£84,950

At the asking price

Monthly rent£650/mo

Evidenced range £650-£700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £26,786
Net cash flow: £163/mo
Cash on cash: 7.3%
Score at this price: 49

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.27 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 4510082410Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 18%Valuation edge · as of 30 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 650/mo (range 650-700)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 650/mo (range 650-700)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 36 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£86,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£650

Gross Yield9.18%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-2.6%

5y Growth-0.3%

10y Growth+2.5%

Last Sold Price£100,500 (2006-09-22)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NE15 7SF

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2025/0997/02/NMA
Non-Material Amendment: (amendment to change mesh infill panels within the steel structural frame on the rear elevation of the tower to profiled metal cladding coloured Anthracite Grey) to planning permission 2025/0997/01/DET dated 14.08.2025.
Pending
2025/1831/03/DCC
Submission of BNG Plan to comply with informative of planning permission 2025/1831/01/DET dated 17.03.2025.
Pending
2025/1831/02/DCC
Submission of details of Construction Method Statement to comply with condition 3 and Hard and Soft Landscape details to comply with condition 7 of planning permission 2025/1831/01/DET dated 17.03.2025.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership77.8%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2006-09-22
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

12 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£30,144

Population Density-

Owner Occupied74%

Age Distribution

0-15 18%16-64 61%65+ 21%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

West Denton Primary School
0.4 mi
Inspected as West Denton Primary School (URN 108449) on 17 May 2023
St John Vianney Catholic Primary School, West Denton
0.5 mi
Good
Broadwood Primary School
0.5 mi
Good
Waverley Primary School
0.6 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

1 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

100 Avalon Drive
-
£75k
-
110 Avalon Drive
-
£65k
-
72 Avalon Drive
-
£72k
-
Dene Court Avalon Drive
-
£7k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN