38 Ferndene Grove, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE7 7PJ

UPRN:4510086952Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

Tenure: -Council Tax: Band AEPC: C (72)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· freshAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

38 Ferndene Grove, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE7 7PJ

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£157,000

£141k - £172kMedium

Estimate

£157k

Range

£141k – £172k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,000

£900 - £1k

Monthly

£1,000

Yield

6.86%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

38 Ferndene Grove earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 78/100. Investment score 67/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (57/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

78/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

67/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

9/ 100

Low

Walkability

57/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 22Bike 58

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge1.3/15
claims [AVM -11.5% (MEDIUM), sold-comps +2.2%, £/sqft +2.3%] → measured edge +0.26pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 4510086952· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 11%· as of 27 Oct 2026
Rental economics13.4/40
gross yield 6.9%; range width penalty ×0.90
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1000/mo (range 900-1050)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -133/mo, -13% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 51 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
155 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£131,000£201,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£175,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,000/mo

Evidenced range £900-£1,050

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £54,800
Net cash flow: £102/mo
Cash on cash: 2.2%
Score at this price: 28

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.69 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 4510086952Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 11%Valuation edge · as of 27 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1000/mo (range 900-1050)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1000/mo (range 900-1050)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£157,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,000

Gross Yield6.86%

1y Growth+35.1%

3y Growth+6.0%

5y Growth+2.4%

10y Growth+3.6%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NE7 7PJ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2026/1056/01/TPO
TPO Application: King Crimson Maple (T67 on Sketch Plan) - Crown reduce by 1.5m in height and up to 1.5m on the sides to maintain tree at reasonable size. Dense crown; thin crown up to 10%, Whitebeam (68 on Sketch Plan) - Crown reduce by 1.5m in height and up to 1.5m on the sides to maintain tree at reasonable size. Dense crown; thin crown up to 10% (TPO 2026/01)
Pending
2026/1003/01/HOU
Erection of new pitched roof to side and rear, insertion of 5 no. rooflights to rear, a 1.5m high wall and 550mm high patio to rear.
Pending
2026/0987/01/HOU
Erection of a two storey side extension to side and rear and a single storey extension with 380mm patio to rear.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership61%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease Type-
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

7 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£30,144

Population Density5,102 /km²

Owner Occupied59%

Age Distribution

0-15 18%16-64 69%65+ 13%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Cragside Primary School
0.3 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Benton Park Primary School
0.4 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Jesmond Park Academy
0.5 mi
Good
Ravenswood Primary School
0.6 mi
Good

6 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

45 Ferndene Grove
-
£150k
-
30 Ferndene Grove
-
£188k
-
31 Ferndene Grove
-
£135k
-
33 Ferndene Grove
-
£138k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN