33 Elmfield Square, Gosforth, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE3 4BL

UPRN:4510725285Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 2007-2011

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (76)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

33 Elmfield Square, Gosforth, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE3 4BL

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£259,000

£246k - £272kHigh

Estimate

£259k

Range

£246k – £272k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,600

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,600

Yield

7.68%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

33 Elmfield Square earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 84/100. Investment score 77/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (64/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

84/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

77/ 100

High

Crime Score

8/ 100

Low

Walkability

64/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 18Bike 61

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +3.5% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 4510725285· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics20.4/40
gross yield 7.7%; range width penalty ×0.95
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1500-1700)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -166/mo, -10% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 298 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
542 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£187,500£287,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£250,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,600/mo

Evidenced range £1,500-£1,700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £78,800
Net cash flow: £264/mo
Cash on cash: 4.0%
Score at this price: 35

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.90 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 4510725285Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1500-1700)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1600/mo (range 1500-1700)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 298 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£259,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,600

Gross Yield7.68%

1y Growth-50.7%

3y Growth+5.0%

5y Growth+3.4%

10y Growth+2.5%

Last Sold Price£270,000 (2021-03-26)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NE3 4BL

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2026/1065/01/TCA
Trees in a Conservation Area Notification: Poplar (T1 on Sketch Plan) - Pollard at 8ft to minimise overhang, Willow (T2 on Sketch Plan) - Fell
Pending
2026/1071/01/TCA
Trees in a Conservation Area Notification: Whitebeam (T1 on Sketch Plan) – Fell, Holly ( T2 on Sketch Plan) - Pollard at 7ft to reform crown at a manageable height, Cherry (T3 on Sketch Plan) - reduce crown by 1.5m to maintain shape
Pending
2026/1072/01/TCA
Trees in a conservation area notification: Mixed Species Hedge (H1) Predominantly Laurel with 1no. Holly and 1no. Forsythia to Remove.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership53.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining105 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2021-03-26
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

17 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£30,144

Population Density5,044 /km²

Owner Occupied80%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 59%65+ 25%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Westfield School
0.1 mi
Inspected by ISI
The Newcastle School
0.3 mi
Inspected by ISI
Archibald First School
0.5 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Gosforth Junior High Academy
0.5 mi
Good

5 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

26 Elmfield Square
-
£238k
-
39 Elmfield Square
-
£445k
-
22 Elmfield Square
-
£282k
-
24 Elmfield Square
-
£260k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN