16 The Close, Church Aston, Newport, TF10 9JL

UPRN:452035358Detached House5 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: D (57)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 6mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

16 The Close, Church Aston, Newport, TF10 9JL

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£558,000

£530k - £585kHigh

Estimate

£558k

Range

£530k – £585k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£4,250

£4k - £4k

Monthly

£4,250

Yield

9.11%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

16 The Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 73/100. Investment score 70/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (37/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

73/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

70/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

19/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

37/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 15Bike 28

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

High confidence3 independent sourcesListing checked 31 Oct 2026

Every component scored, and three or more independent sources agree.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM -0.3% (HIGH), sold-comps +7.0%, £/sqft +7.0%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 452035358· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 9.1%· as of 20 Oct 2026
Rental economics32.9/40
gross yield 9.1%; range width penalty ×1.00
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4250/mo (range 4050-4450)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin14.9/30
stressed cash flow +631/mo, +15% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 31 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 246 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 31 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
196 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 80+ up to £476,000

£420,000£644,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£559,950

At the asking price

Monthly rent£4,250/mo

Evidenced range £4,050-£4,450

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £187,283
Net cash flow: £1,052/mo
Cash on cash: 6.7%
Score at this price: 65

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.25 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 452035358Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 9.1%Valuation edge · as of 20 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4250/mo (range 4050-4450)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 31 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 31 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 4250/mo (range 4050-4450)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 246 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →flood, subsidence, crime, environment - the full domain

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £476,000 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£558,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£4,250

Gross Yield9.11%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.9%

5y Growth+0.7%

10y Growth+2.3%

Last Sold Price£243,000 (2001-11-06)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningModerate
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1TF10 9JL

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

TWC/2026/0676
Removal of epicormic growth to 4no. Lime trees
Approved
TWC/2026/0628
Overall crown reduction by up to 3m to 1no. Oak tree (T1)
Approved
TWC/2026/0579
Change of use of existing detached garage to an annex and holiday let (amendment to previous planning application TWC/2026/0022)
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership83.8%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2001-11-06
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

13 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£31,459

Population Density-

Owner Occupied81%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 56%65+ 28%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Church Aston Infant School
0.2 mi
Good
Moorfield Primary School
0.4 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Newport Girls' High School Academy
0.4 mi
Outstanding
Newport Infant School and Nursery
0.7 mi
Good

4 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

8 The Close
-
£320k
-
18 The Close
-
£335k
-
1 The Close
-
£190k
-
11 The Close
-
£370k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN