31 Ford Road, Newport, TF10 7TU

UPRN:452058445Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: D (68)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£269,000

£255k - £282kHigh

Estimate

£269k

Range

£255k – £282k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,050

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,050

Yield

9.28%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

31 Ford Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 83/100. Investment score 73/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is good (73/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

83/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

73/ 100

High

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

73/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 18Bike 35

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesListing checked 11 Nov 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +1.5% (HIGH), sold-comps -19.9%, £/sqft -19.8%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 452058445· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 17.3%· as of 6 Nov 2026
Rental economics34.3/40
gross yield 9.3%; range width penalty ×1.00
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2050/mo (range 1950-2150)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin12.6/30
stressed cash flow +259/mo, +13% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 11 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 108 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 11 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
196 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 80+ up to £205,500

£199,000£305,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£265,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,050/mo

Evidenced range £1,950-£2,150

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £84,050
Net cash flow: £525/mo
Cash on cash: 7.5%
Score at this price: 62

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.29 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 452058445Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 17.3%Valuation edge · as of 6 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2050/mo (range 1950-2150)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 11 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 11 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2050/mo (range 1950-2150)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 108 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £205,500 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
4. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£269,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,050

Gross Yield9.28%

1y Growth-24.0%

3y Growth-1.9%

5y Growth+0.7%

10y Growth+2.3%

Last Sold Price£230,000 (2022-06-08)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0TF10 7TU

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

TWC/2026/0807
Replacement of 9no. existing windows with flush casement uPVC windows
Pending
TWC/2026/0770
Change of Use of Micro Pub (Sui Generis) to Retail unit (Use Class E(a))
Pending
TWC/2026/0759
Partial demolition to the side/rear of existing building, internal alterations to facilitate the creation of 2no. residential flats, installation of an external staircase, installation of 4no. windows and 3no. doors and replacement of 4no. windows and 2no. doors (Listed Building Application)
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership83.9%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2022-06-08
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

15 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£31,459

Population Density5,276 /km²

Owner Occupied74%

Age Distribution

0-15 21%16-64 59%65+ 20%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Newport Girls' High School Academy
0.2 mi
Outstanding
Moorfield Primary School
0.2 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Haberdashers' Adams
0.3 mi
Good
Newport Church of England Voluntary Controlled Junior School
0.4 mi
GoodImproving

4 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

57 Ford Road
-
£215k
-
91 Ford Road
-
£230k
-
35 Ford Road
-
£370k
-
69 Ford Road
-
£235k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN