78 Carlton Park Avenue, London, SW20 8BL

UPRN:48012882Terrace Property2 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: D (64)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

78 Carlton Park Avenue, London, SW20 8BL

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£841,000

£799k - £883kHigh

Estimate

£841k

Range

£799k – £883k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,650

£3k - £4k

Monthly

£3,650

Yield

5.15%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

78 Carlton Park Avenue earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 82/100. Investment score 65/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is good (79/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

82/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

65/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

79/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 55Bike 69

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 30 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -1.1% (HIGH), sold-comps -21.6%, £/sqft -21.7%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 48012882· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 21.8%· as of 23 Oct 2026
Rental economics1/40
gross yield 5.2%; range width penalty ×0.82
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3650/mo (range 3300-4000)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,033/mo, -28% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 129 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 30 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
270 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£637,500£977,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£850,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,650/mo

Evidenced range £3,300-£4,000

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £288,800
Net cash flow: -£342/mo
Cash on cash: -1.4%
Score at this price: 16

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.27 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 48012882Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 21.8%Valuation edge · as of 23 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3650/mo (range 3300-4000)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 30 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3650/mo (range 3300-4000)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 129 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£841,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,650

Gross Yield5.15%

1y Growth+24.2%

3y Growth+1.4%

5y Growth-0.8%

10y Growth+1.8%

Last Sold Price£665,000 (2019-11-15)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1SW20 8BL

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/PAHE/1248
APPLICATION FOR PRIOR APPROVAL IN RESPECT OF THE PROPOSED ERECTION OF A SINGLE STOREY REAR EXTENSION WITH A DEPTH OF 4.5M, MAXIMUM HEIGHT OF 4M AND EAVES HEIGHT OF 3M.
Pending
26/PAHE/1242
APPLICATION FOR PRIOR APPROVAL IN RESPECT OF THE PROPOSED ERECTION OF A SINGLE STOREY REAR EXTENSION WITH A DEPTH OF 6M, MAXIMUM HEIGHT OF 3.5M AND EAVES HEIGHT OF 2.5M.
Pending
26/LDCP/1009
APPLICATION FOR A LAWFUL DEVELOPMENT CERTIFICATE IN RESPECT OF THE PROPOSED ERECTION OF A REAR DORMER ROOF EXTENSION.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership55.6%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2019-11-15
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

8 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£43,507

Population Density10,181 /km²

Owner Occupied58%

Age Distribution

0-15 18%16-64 70%65+ 12%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Hollymount School
0.5 mi
Good
West Wimbledon Primary School
0.5 mi
Good
Hall School Wimbledon
0.5 mi
Inspected by ISI
Ursuline High School Wimbledon
0.5 mi
Inspected as Ursuline High School Wimbledon (URN 102683) on 12 Oct 2021

2 of 9 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

62 Carlton Park Avenue
-
£660k
-
38 Carlton Park Avenue
-
£943k
-
42 Carlton Park Avenue
-
£850k
-
54 Carlton Park Avenue
-
£850k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN