77 Epsom Road, Morden, SM4 5PR

UPRN:48025491Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: D (64)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£612,000

£582k - £643kHigh

Estimate

£612k

Range

£582k – £643k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,650

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,650

Yield

5.30%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

77 Epsom Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 80/100. Investment score 61/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is good (78/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

80/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

61/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

12/ 100

Low

Walkability

78/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 29Bike 66

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +2.0% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 48025491· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics2.1/40
gross yield 5.3%; range width penalty ×0.86
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2650/mo (range 2450-2900)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 4 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -714/mo, -27% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 180 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
218 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£450,000£690,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£600,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,650/mo

Evidenced range £2,450-£2,900

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £201,300
Net cash flow: -£190/mo
Cash on cash: -1.1%
Score at this price: 17

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.31 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 48025491Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2650/mo (range 2450-2900)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 4 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2650/mo (range 2450-2900)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
listing text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
2 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£612,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,650

Gross Yield5.30%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.6%

5y Growth+1.7%

10y Growth+2.6%

Last Sold Price£98,000 (1995-02-17)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

2SM4 5PR

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

CLC2026/00195
Application to clear condition 7 (construction logistics plan) of approved application DM2026/00547.
Pending
DM2026/01100
Erection of a part one, part two storey front, side and rear extension and alterations to the fenestrations.
Pending
CLC2026/00169
Application to clear condition 14 (Refuse and Recycling) of approved application DM2024/00221.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership59%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change1995-02-17
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

5 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£43,507

Population Density-

Owner Occupied69%

Age Distribution

0-15 20%16-64 62%65+ 18%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Morden Primary School
0.4 mi
Good
Hatfeild Primary School
0.4 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Aragon Primary School
0.5 mi
-
Abbey Primary School
0.6 mi
Good

3 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

89 Epsom Road
-
£625k
-
57 Epsom Road
-
£400k
-
75 Epsom Road
-
£485k
-
43A Epsom Road
-
£90k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN