10 Errol Gardens, New Malden, KT3 6QF

UPRN:48025607Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (71)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£359,000

£342k - £377kHigh

Estimate

£359k

Range

£342k – £377k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,550

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,550

Yield

5.31%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

10 Errol Gardens earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 78/100. Investment score 78/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (64/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

78/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

78/ 100

High

Crime Score

27/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

64/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 36Bike 57

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 31 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +2.5% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 48025607· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics2.2/40
gross yield 5.3%; range width penalty ×0.88
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1550/mo (range 1400-1650)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -467/mo, -30% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 31 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 236 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 31 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
286 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£262,500£402,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£350,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,550/mo

Evidenced range £1,400-£1,650

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £113,800
Net cash flow: -£108/mo
Cash on cash: -1.1%
Score at this price: 17

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.31 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 48025607Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1550/mo (range 1400-1650)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 31 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 31 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1550/mo (range 1400-1650)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£359,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,550

Gross Yield5.31%

1y Growth-38.3%

3y Growth+4.9%

5y Growth+2.2%

10y Growth+2.1%

Last Sold Price£250,000 (2007-09-07)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0KT3 6QF

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02251/NMA
Non-Material Amendment to Planning Permission 26/00923/FUL (Application under Section 73 of the Town and Country Planning Act 1990 to vary Conditions 10 for the Demolition of Existing blocks EFAA, EFAB, EFAC, EFAD, EFAE, EFAG and EFAH, consequential works to retained Block EFAF, and erection of two replacement three-storey school buildings including temporary teaching blocks to be used during the construction period, along with access, landscaping, and associated infrastructure. Dated 16/01/2024).
Pending
26/02252/NMA
Application for a Non-Material Amendment to Planning Permission ref: 22/00495/FUL (Conversion of single family dwelling into 2no. self-contained flats (1 x three-bedroom and 1 x three-bedroom duplex) with 1no. parking space at rear Extension of existing side dormer with installation of 2no side rooflights.). Amendment to internal floor plans to reflect the as-built internal layout of both units.
Pending
26/02230/HOUF
Demolition of detached garage and erection of single storey wrap around extension with front porch.
Pending

View Planning Timeline