Flat 16, Oak Lodge, Talbot Close, Mitcham, CR4 1FF

UPRN:48129235Flat/Maisonette1 bedsBuilt 2012 onwards

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: B (83)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 16, Oak Lodge, Talbot Close, Mitcham, CR4 1FF

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£248,000

£223k - £273kMedium

Estimate

£248k

Range

£223k – £273k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£850

£750 - £900

Monthly

£850

Yield

4.43%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 16 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 74/100. Investment score 70/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (60/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

74/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

70/ 100

High

Crime Score

31/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

60/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 22Bike 63

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +7.3% (MEDIUM), sold-comps +22.0%, £/sqft +22.0%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 48129235· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 7.7%· as of 29 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.4%; range width penalty ×0.85
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 850/mo (range 750-900)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -476/mo, -56% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 107 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
272 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£172,500£264,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£230,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£850/mo

Evidenced range £750-£900

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £72,400
Net cash flow: -£188/mo
Cash on cash: -3.1%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.10 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 48129235Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 7.7%Valuation edge · as of 29 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 850/mo (range 750-900)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 850/mo (range 750-900)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£248,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£850

Gross Yield4.43%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.2%

5y Growth+0.5%

10y Growth+2.4%

Last Sold Price£171,500 (2020-01-15)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CR4 1FF

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/LDCP/0983
APPLICATION FOR A LAWFUL DEVELOPMENT CERTIFICATE IN RESPECT OF THE PROPOSED ERECTION OF A HIP TO GABLE, REAR DORMER ROOF EXTENSION AND 3 FRONT ROOFLIGHTS, FOLLOWING DEMOLITION OF EXISTING ROOF DORMER EXTENSION.
Pending
26/PAHE/0875
APPLICATION FOR PRIOR APPROVAL IN RESPECT OF THE PROPOSED ERECTION OF A SINGLE STOREY REAR EXTENSION WITH A DEPTH OF 4M, MAXIMUM HEIGHT OF 3.15M AND EAVES HEIGHT OF 3M.
Pending
26/PAHE/0805
APPLICATION FOR PRIOR APPROVAL IN RESPECT OF THE PROPOSED ERECTION OF A SINGLE STOREY REAR EXTENSION WITH A DEPTH OF 3.5M, MAXIMUM HEIGHT OF 3.9M AND EAVES HEIGHT OF 2.9M.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership65.9%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining84 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2020-01-15
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

14 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£43,507

Population Density2,584 /km²

Owner Occupied59%

Age Distribution

0-15 24%16-64 65%65+ 11%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

The Sherwood School
0.2 mi
Good
Harris Primary Academy Merton
0.5 mi
Outstanding
Harris Academy Merton
0.6 mi
Outstanding
William Morris Primary School
0.6 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

2 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Oak Lodge Talbot Close
-
£258k
-
Oak Lodge Talbot Close
-
£142k
-
Oak Lodge Talbot Close
-
£245k
-
Oak Lodge Talbot Close
-
£172k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN