Minffordd, Aberarth, Aberaeron, SA46 0LY

UPRN:49038360Detached PropertyBeds -Built 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: D (56)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Minffordd, Aberarth, Aberaeron, SA46 0LY

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

15 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£547,000

£520k - £574kHigh

Estimate

£547k

Range

£520k – £574k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,250

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,250

Yield

2.73%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Minffordd earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 74/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

74/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

60/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

4/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 30 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.5% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 49038360· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 2.7%; range width penalty ×0.56
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1050-1450)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 30 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,532/mo, -123% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 110 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 30 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
31 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£412,500£632,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£550,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,250/mo

Evidenced range £1,050-£1,450

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £183,800
Net cash flow: -£991/mo
Cash on cash: -6.5%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.67 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 49038360Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1050-1450)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 30 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 30 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1250/mo (range 1050-1450)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
listing text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£547,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,250

Gross Yield2.73%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-5.2%

5y Growth+1.6%

10y Growth+3.8%

Last Sold Price£49,500 (1996-07-01)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SA46 0LY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

A260359
Erection of Dwelling
Pending
A260143
Erection of Dwelling
Pending
A250579
Discharge of condition 3 from planning permission A250250 (Erection of a self-catered holiday let unit - Samples of external building materials: Natural slate, Roughcast render, Slate hanging, Stonework and Fenestration).
Conditions

View Planning Timeline