Marion Villa, Stryd yr Eglwys, Llanon, SY23 5HW

UPRN:49039223Detached House4 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: G (18)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 5mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Marion Villa, Stryd yr Eglwys, Llanon, SY23 5HW

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£354,000

£319k - £389kMedium

Estimate

£354k

Range

£319k – £389k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,250

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,250

Yield

5.66%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Marion Villa earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 76/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

76/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

14/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 31 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 25% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +25.1% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 49039223· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics4.2/40
gross yield 5.7%; range width penalty ×0.80; the estimate this rent rides on sits 25% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1100-1350)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 25% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -329/mo, -26% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 31 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 148 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 31 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
251 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£199,000£305,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£265,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,250/mo

Evidenced range £1,100-£1,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £84,050
Net cash flow: -£29/mo
Cash on cash: -0.4%
Score at this price: 17

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.40 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 49039223Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1100-1350)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 25% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 31 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 31 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1250/mo (range 1100-1350)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 25% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£354,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,250

Gross Yield5.66%

1y Growth+10.8%

3y Growth+0.3%

5y Growth+3.8%

10y Growth+3.2%

Last Sold Price£315,000 (2023-12-15)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SY23 5HW

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

A260380
Discharge of condition 4 from planning application A250558 (Method statement for the repair works to the chimney capping and secret lead gutter)
Pending
A260379
Discharge of condition 3 from planning application A250558 (Detailed specification of works including details of materials proposed, the build up of the roof, and the method of thatching proposed)
Pending
A260280
Discharge of condition 6 from planning application A230166 (photographic survey)
Pending

View Planning Timeline