Blaenyrorfa, Tynygraig, Ystrad Meurig, SY25 6AH

UPRN:49053384Detached House2 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: D (63)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 5mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Blaenyrorfa, Tynygraig, Ystrad Meurig, SY25 6AH

HP Score

/ 100

Low

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: AVOID, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Significant risk factors

Evidence

15 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£429,000

£386k - £471kMedium

Estimate

£429k

Range

£386k – £471k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,150

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,150

Yield

1.73%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Blaenyrorfa earns an AVOID rating with HP Score 39/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

39/ 100

Low

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

83/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the advert has 5 bedrooms but the valuation snapshot describes 2 - an extension, conversion or HMO the evidence does not reflect, or a different home. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge-0.6/15
claims [AVM -86.5% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge -0.12pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 49053384· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 1.7%; range width penalty ×0.68
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1150/mo (range 1000-1300)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -2,660/mo, -231% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 29 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
60 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£600,000£920,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£800,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,150/mo

Evidenced range £1,000-£1,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £271,300
Net cash flow: -£1,904/mo
Cash on cash: -8.4%
Score at this price: 12

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.43 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 49053384Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1150/mo (range 1000-1300)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1150/mo (range 1000-1300)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 29 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£429,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,150

Gross Yield1.73%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+5.3%

5y Growth+5.3%

10y Growth+4.6%

Last Sold Price£305,000 (2019-10-09)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningSignificant
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SY25 6AH

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

A190537
Discharge of condition 5 (LPA approval before work to commence on glasshouse) from planning permission A170559
Conditions
A190536
Discharge of condition 4 (works to the windows) from planning permission A170559
Conditions
A190378
Discharge of Condition 5 of A170559 Listed Building Consent (glasshouse details).
Conditions

View Planning Timeline