17 Caeau Gwynfryn, Llanarth, SA47 0AA

UPRN:49082034Detached House4 bedsBuilt 2025

Tenure: -Council Tax: -EPC: B (89)

Data freshness:Planning· 5mo ago

HP Score

Not available

Verdict

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

9 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£412,000

£392k - £433kHigh

Estimate

£412k

Range

£392k – £433k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,800

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,800

Yield

5.27%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

17 Caeau Gwynfryn earns an INVESTIGATE rating; it has no HP Score yet. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)ONS Census 2021Police.ukPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

No data

Investment Score

No data

Crime Score

No data

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 31 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +0.5% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 49082034· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics2/40
gross yield 5.3%; range width penalty ×0.92
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1800/mo (range 1700-1950)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -537/mo, -30% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 31 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
no listing-history inputs (first published date, price changes)
Risk & liquidity5.6/15
valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£307,500£471,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£410,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,800/mo

Evidenced range £1,700-£1,950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £134,800
Net cash flow: -£138/mo
Cash on cash: -1.2%
Score at this price: 8

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.30 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 49082034Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1800/mo (range 1700-1950)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 31 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth Valuation methodology

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1800/mo (range 1700-1950)
Seller motivation could not be scored
no listing-history inputs (first published date, price changes)

Property risk deep-dive →flood, subsidence, crime, environment - the full domain

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.