1 Shinecroft, Rye Lane, Otford, Sevenoaks, TN14 5NA

UPRN:50002009585End Terrace House3 bedsBuilt before 1900

Tenure: -Council Tax: -EPC: E (47)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

1 Shinecroft, Rye Lane, Otford, Sevenoaks, TN14 5NA

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

5 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£548,000

£493k - £603kMedium

Estimate

£548k

Range

£493k – £603k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,150

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,150

Yield

4.69%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

1 Shinecroft earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 61/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (36/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

61/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

13/ 100

Low

Walkability

36/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 11Bike 30

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.4% (MEDIUM), sold-comps -6.0%, £/sqft -6.0%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 50002009585· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 18.2%· as of 1 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.7%; range width penalty ×0.78
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2150/mo (range 1950-2400)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -870/mo, -40% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 84 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
158 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£412,500£632,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£550,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,150/mo

Evidenced range £1,950-£2,400

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £183,800
Net cash flow: -£368/mo
Cash on cash: -2.4%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.16 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 50002009585Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 18.2%Valuation edge · as of 1 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2150/mo (range 1950-2400)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2150/mo (range 1950-2400)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 84 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£548,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,150

Gross Yield4.69%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+10.5%

5y Growth+4.3%

10y Growth+4.3%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0TN14 5NA

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02655/HOUSE
Demolition of the existing detached garage. Part-one, part-two storey side extension with green roof. Associated internal and external alterations, including alterations to front and rear porches and to fenestration.
Pending
26/02613/FUL
Construction of a two-storey apartment building containing 4no. 2-bedroom apartments with bin stores, cycle store, car parking spaces with EV charging points and PV panels. Associated hard and soft landscaping.
Pending
26/02399/WTPO
T1 - Ash - Reduce in height by 2m, reduce NW spread by 1.5m, reduce SW spread by 1m, reduce SE spread by 1m. T2 - Beech - Reduce in height by 4m, reduce E spread by 2m, reduce S spread by 2m, reduce N spread by 2m, carefully reduce lower branches to provide clearance of approximately 4m from ground level.
Approved

View Planning Timeline