59 Birch Close, Patchway, Bristol, BS34 5SA

UPRN:504246Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: D (58)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

59 Birch Close, Patchway, Bristol, BS34 5SA

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£306,000

£290k - £321kHigh

Estimate

£306k

Range

£290k – £321k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,950

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,950

Yield

7.43%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

59 Birch Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 65/100. Investment score 49/100 reflects below-average fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (40/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

65/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

49/ 100

Mixed

Crime Score

28/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

40/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 10Bike 53

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -2.9% (HIGH), sold-comps -12.1%, £/sqft -12.1%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 504246· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 8.3%· as of 27 Oct 2026
Rental economics19.3/40
gross yield 7.4%; range width penalty ×0.99
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1850-2050)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -26/mo, -1% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 29 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
410 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 70+ up to £236,000

£236,000£362,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£315,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,950/mo

Evidenced range £1,850-£2,050

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £101,550
Net cash flow: £287/mo
Cash on cash: 3.4%
Score at this price: 34

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.83 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 504246Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 8.3%Valuation edge · as of 27 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1850-2050)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1950/mo (range 1850-2050)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 29 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £236,000 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£306,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,950

Gross Yield7.43%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-2.0%

5y Growth+2.7%

10y Growth+3.9%

Last Sold Price£150,000 (2013-06-21)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0BS34 5SA

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P26/02463/F
Erection of a single storey side extension to form enlarged workshop and reception area for customers (Class B2) with associated works.
Pending
DOC26/00347
Discharge of condition 19 (Travel Plan) attached to Planning Permission P25/01677/RVC. Variation of condition 2 (approved plans) and removal of conditions 16 (Landscaping) attached to permission P21/06296/F. Discharge of Conditions 4 (contamination study), 5 (prevention of pollution), 7 (CEMP) and 21 (invasive species) attached to permission P21/06296/F. Erection of railway station with 1 no. footbridge, temporary car park, access and associated works.
Pending
P26/02109/HH
Erection of single storey front extension to form porch and additional living accommodation. (Amendment to previously approved scheme P24/00991/HH)
Pending

View Planning Timeline