29 Chester Close South, London, NW1 4JG

UPRN:5051953Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: C (79)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£693,000

£658k - £728kHigh

Estimate

£693k

Range

£658k – £728k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,450

£3k - £4k

Monthly

£3,450

Yield

6.13%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

29 Chester Close South earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 63/100. Investment score 67/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is excellent (95/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

63/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

67/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

95/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

95/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 83Bike 76

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +2.6% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5051953· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics8.3/40
gross yield 6.1%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3450/mo (range 3200-3700)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,078/mo, -31% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 31 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
284 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£506,000£776,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£675,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,450/mo

Evidenced range £3,200-£3,700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £227,550
Net cash flow: £110/mo
Cash on cash: 0.6%
Score at this price: 23

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.51 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5051953Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3450/mo (range 3200-3700)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3450/mo (range 3200-3700)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 31 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£693,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,450

Gross Yield6.13%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-9.6%

5y Growth-2.1%

10y Growth-0.7%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NW1 4JG

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2026/4832/P
Details to discharge Condition 25 (Crossrail 2 Construction Method Statement) of planning reference 2023/5240/P dated 26/01/26 for redevelopment of Euston Tower comprising retention of parts of the existing building (including central core, basement and foundations) and erection of a new building incorporating these retained elements, to provide a 32-storey mixed-use building providing offices and research and development floorspace (Class E(g)) and office, retail, café and restaurant space (Class E) and Enterprise Space (Class E/F) at ground and first floors, and associated external terraces; public realm enhancements, including new landscaping and provision of new publicly accessible steps and ramp; short and long stay cycle storage; servicing; refuse storage; plant and other ancillary and associated work
Pending
2026/4773/L
Internal refurbishment and reconfiguration of wings 1.3 and 1.4; associated works on the first, second and third floors to improve the laboratory environments and associated spaces; and relocation of the partitions in the central stairwell.
Approved
2026/4781/P
Request for scoping opinion under Regulation 15 of the Town and Country Planning Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) Regulations 2017, for phased mixed use development including demolition of 1 Eversholt Street and its podium, the piazza and Ampthill Square Estate Community Building (Barnby Street); the erection of buildings (some with basements) to deliver up to: approx. 365,000m2 Gross External Area (GEA) residential uses (Classes C1, C2, C3 and Sui Generis); approx. 590,000m2 GEA of commercial, business and service uses (Class E and Sui Generis), approx. 95,000m2 GEA of leisure, culture and education (including entertainment use) (Classes F1 and Sui Generis); approx. 15,000m2 GEA of community and social infrastructure (Classes F2 and Sui Generis); and approx. 60,000 GEA of Residential Institution floorspace (medical uses) (Use Class C2). Some of the preceding uses will not be built out to their full parameter limits with the total quantum of development capped to not exceed 650,000m2 GEA.
Pending

View Planning Timeline