40 Church Road, Bitton, Bristol, BS30 6LJ

UPRN:506080End Terrace House4 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: E (53)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 2mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

40 Church Road, Bitton, Bristol, BS30 6LJ

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£623,000

£592k - £654kHigh

Estimate

£623k

Range

£592k – £654k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,650

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,650

Yield

5.09%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

40 Church Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 62/100. Investment score 56/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (16/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

62/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

56/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

26/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

16/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 6Bike 39

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.3% (HIGH), sold-comps -0.8%, £/sqft -0.9%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 506080· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 11 comps, dispersion 15.4%· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics0.6/40
gross yield 5.1%; range width penalty ×0.86
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2650/mo (range 2400-2850)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -819/mo, -31% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 178 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
330 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£469,000£719,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£625,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,650/mo

Evidenced range £2,400-£2,850

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £210,050
Net cash flow: -£275/mo
Cash on cash: -1.6%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.26 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 506080Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 11 comps, dispersion 15.4%Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2650/mo (range 2400-2850)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2650/mo (range 2400-2850)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 178 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£623,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,650

Gross Yield5.09%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.8%

5y Growth+1.6%

10y Growth+2.9%

Last Sold Price£392,000 (2019-11-15)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

3BS30 6LJ

Approval Rate

0%12mo

Development

low

P26/02293/TCA
Works to feel 1no Sweet Chestnut Tree. Works to crown reduce 1no Yew Tree by 3m all within Bitton Conservation Area.
Pending
P26/02247/PNA
Prior notification of the intention to erect an agricultural barn for the storage of machinery and hay.
Approved
P26/02020/HH
Replacement of existing conservatory roof with Tapco Slate roof.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership72.5%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2019-11-15
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

15 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,002

Population Density-

Owner Occupied70%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 62%65+ 19%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

The Meadows Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
Cherry Garden Primary School
1.0 mi
Inspected as Cherry Garden Primary School (URN 109114) on 4 Jul 2018
St Anne's Church of England Primary School
1.2 mi
-
Two Rivers Church of England Primary
1.4 mi
Outstanding

5 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

11 Church Road
-
£895k
-
The Grange Church Road
-
£3.20M
-
40 Church Road
-
£392k
-
40 Church Road
-
£480k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN