Flat Ground Floor, 45 Cotleigh Road, London, NW6 2NN

UPRN:5100783Converted Flat2 bedsBuilt -

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: -

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

Flat Ground Floor, 45 Cotleigh Road, London, NW6 2NN

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£636,000

£605k - £668kHigh

Estimate

£636k

Range

£605k – £668k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,200

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,200

Yield

2.85%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat Ground Floor earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 78/100. Investment score 62/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is good (79/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

78/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

62/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

15/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

79/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 78Bike 65

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -45.4% (HIGH)] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5100783· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 2.9%; range width penalty ×0.79
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 2000-2450)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -2,415/mo, -110% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 49 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
457 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£694,000£1,064,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£925,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,200/mo

Evidenced range £2,000-£2,450

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £315,050
Net cash flow: -£1,599/mo
Cash on cash: -6.1%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.70 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5100783Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 2000-2450)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2200/mo (range 2000-2450)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£636,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,200

Gross Yield2.85%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.1%

5y Growth-0.8%

10y Growth+0.0%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NW6 2NN

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/2737
Ash tree (self seeding) within 0.5m from boundary wall. Our property is located on shrinkable London clay soil. Fast-growing, high-water-demand trees situated within half a metre of building foundations present a long-term risk of soil desiccation, clay shrinkage, and potential foundation movement. We have been advised to remove the tree to ground level.
Pending
2026/4727/P
Non-material amendment to planning permission 2024/3480/P dated 14/10/2024 (Erection of an additional storey and replacement chimney on the existing 2-storey original rear closet wing), namely to omit the approved dormer and insert a rooflight.
Pending
2026/4737/P
Non-material amendment to planning permission 2025/4629/P dated 17/12/2025 (Erection of a single storey rear and side extension), namely to insert a rooflight above the roof of the approved extension and remove a chimney stack above the existing two-storey rear wing.
Pending

View Planning Timeline