Apartment 202, 1 Espalier Gardens, London, NW6 2DQ

UPRN:5194578Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt -

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: B (85)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· freshAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

Apartment 202, 1 Espalier Gardens, London, NW6 2DQ

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£630,000

£598k - £661kHigh

Estimate

£630k

Range

£598k – £661k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,200

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,200

Yield

4.06%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Apartment 202 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 62/100. Investment score 74/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is excellent (95/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

62/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

74/ 100

High

Crime Score

93/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

95/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 72Bike 73

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -3.2% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5194578· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.1%; range width penalty ×0.75
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 1950-2450)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,255/mo, -57% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 65 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
457 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£487,500£747,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£650,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,200/mo

Evidenced range £1,950-£2,450

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £218,800
Net cash flow: -£671/mo
Cash on cash: -3.7%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.00 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5194578Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 1950-2450)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2200/mo (range 1950-2450)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£630,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,200

Gross Yield4.06%

1y Growth-22.1%

3y Growth+0.1%

5y Growth-0.8%

10y Growth+0.0%

Last Sold Price£600,000 (2021-07-22)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NW6 2DQ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/2809
Details pursuant to condition 10 (Details of materials for all external work), of Full Planning Permission application reference 26/1560 dated 23/09/2026 for Proposed erection of a single dwellinghouse on land adjacent to 19A Mowbray Road with new boundary wall, associated soft and hard landscaping to front garden, refuse storage and cycle storage.
Pending
2026/4842/P
Non-material amendment to planning permission ref. 2025/1813/P granted 21/07/2026 for Erection of a two storey, 2 x bedroom dwelling within the rear garden, and associated bin and cycle storage enclosure.' namely to omit the approved side access passage and associated amendments to approved front and rear elevations.
Pending
26/2769
T1. Sycamore (Acer psuedoplatanus) Rear garden Large mature tree dominating rear garden and overhanging adjacent gardens. Snapped branches throughout canopy, and squirrel damage on new growth. Previously reduced 4 years ago. Reduce canopy to previous points of reduction (3m in height and 2m in lateral spread) to maintain cyclical pruning and improve light into surrounding areas.
Pending

View Planning Timeline