Data freshness:●Listing· freshListing: fresh, refreshed 5d ago (2026-11-04T04:00:06.345886+00:00)●Planning· 3mo agoPlanning: ageing, refreshed 3mo ago (2026-08-22T13:10:59.185551+00:00)●Ownership· freshOwnership: fresh, refreshed 2d ago (2026-11-06T18:34:39.595484+00:00)●EPC· 3mo agoEPC: ageing, refreshed 3mo ago (2026-08-21T11:14:35.227715+00:00)●Risk· 5mo agoRisk: stale, refreshed 5mo ago (2026-06-18T00:00:00+00:00)●Connectivity· 1mo agoConnectivity: ageing, refreshed 1mo ago (2026-10-03T06:43:10.905825+00:00)●Schools· 1mo agoSchools: ageing, refreshed 1mo ago (2026-10-06T08:24:30.427161+00:00)●Amenities· 2mo agoAmenities: ageing, refreshed 2mo ago (2026-09-23T00:00:00+00:00)●Area· Census 2021Area: static reference data (Census 2021); authoritative and does not refresh●Council Tax· 6mo agoCouncil Tax: stale, refreshed 6mo ago (2026-05-20T09:33:12.870431+00:00)
HP Score
71
/ 100
Mixed
Verdict
2 days ago
Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate
Evidence
18 of 21 sources
Sale Estimate
£2,490,000
£2.24M - £2.74MMedium
Estimate
£2.49M
Range
£2.24M – £2.74M
Rent Estimate (pcm)
£9,350
£8k - £10k
Monthly
£9,350
Yield
6.41%
Verdict
Derived from HomePortfolio scores
39 Calabria Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 67/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is excellent (89/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.
T1 Ash Remove dead stub to north over highway Crown lift low epicormic growth to 4m height" T2 English oak Crown lift to 5m height from ground level including removal of epicormic growth to this height Crown clean Remove major deadwood T3 Sycamore Remove major deadwood including 2 no. dead sub leaders to south / south east T4 Tree of heaven Remove major deadwood Remove epicormic growth to 7m height
Pending
P2026/2887/AOD
Approval of Details pursuant to Condition 4 of planning permission Ref:P2024/0549 Dated 21/03/2025
Pending
P2026/2876/TRE
T1 - Norway Maple - Reduce height by up to 2.5 m, side growth by 1-2m., back to living growth points to create a natural crown shape. Remove dead branches. Crown lift by 1m Reasons for work -safety grounds the tree has considerable die back in the upper crown and some signs of decay/structural weakness
No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.
Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN
Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN
Opportunity
Why this could be an opportunity
22
Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026
This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.
Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 30% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.
Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +29.7% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5300013280· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics9.1/40
gross yield 6.4%; range width penalty ×0.80; the estimate this rent rides on sits 30% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 9350/mo (range 8450-10300)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 30% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 4 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -641/mo, -7% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 44 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
190 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
property_intelligencetransactions_12mo
4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.
Economics
What happens to your money
Price sensitivity
£1,312,500£1,969,000
The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.
Your assumptions
£1,750,000
At the asking price
£9,350/mo
Evidenced range £8,450-£10,300
5.4%
75%
Cash required
£650,050
Net cash flow
£567/mo
Cash on cash
1.0%
Score at this price
22
After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.58 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.
Evidence
Where every number comes from
valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5300013280Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 9350/mo (range 8450-10300)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 30% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 4 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert
Risks
What could kill this deal
Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 9350/mo (range 8450-10300)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 30% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home
Plan
Before you offer
1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.
Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.
Stress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026