33 Valley Road, Mangotsfield, Bristol, BS16 9HN

UPRN:546873Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: C (71)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

33 Valley Road, Mangotsfield, Bristol, BS16 9HN

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£356,000

£338k - £374kHigh

Estimate

£356k

Range

£338k – £374k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,800

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,800

Yield

5.61%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

33 Valley Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 68/100. Investment score 49/100 reflects below-average fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (38/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

68/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

49/ 100

Mixed

Crime Score

13/ 100

Low

Walkability

38/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 33Bike 51

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -8.1% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 546873· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics4.5/40
gross yield 5.6%; range width penalty ×0.92
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1800/mo (range 1700-1950)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -431/mo, -24% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 51 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
925 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£289,000£442,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£385,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,800/mo

Evidenced range £1,700-£1,950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £126,050
Net cash flow: -£53/mo
Cash on cash: -0.5%
Score at this price: 19

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.39 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 546873Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1800/mo (range 1700-1950)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1800/mo (range 1700-1950)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 51 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£356,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,800

Gross Yield5.61%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.0%

5y Growth+2.5%

10y Growth+3.8%

Last Sold Price£145,000 (2005-05-06)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0BS16 9HN

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

DOC26/00396
Discharge of condition 3 (Coal) 6 (CEMP) 7 (Bin and cycle store) attached to permission P26/00019/F Erection of 1no. dwelling with associated works.
Pending
P26/02399/HH
Installation of 2.4m fence. (Retrospective).
Pending
P26/02392/HH
Erection of single storey rear extension to form additional living accommodation. (Retrospective)
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership75.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2005-05-06
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

14 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,002

Population Density5,674 /km²

Owner Occupied60%

Age Distribution

0-15 21%16-64 58%65+ 21%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Barley Close Community Primary School
0.3 mi
Requires improvementConcerns
Mangotsfield School
0.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Stanbridge Primary School
0.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Mangotsfield Church of England Primary School
0.5 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

5 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

29 Valley Road
-
£325k
-
31 Valley Road
-
£360k
-
28 Valley Road
-
£305k
-
43 Valley Road
-
£321k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN