20 Poplar Road, Warmley, Bristol, BS30 5JU

UPRN:550844Semi-Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: D (68)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

20 Poplar Road, Warmley, Bristol, BS30 5JU

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£451,000

£428k - £473kHigh

Estimate

£451k

Range

£428k – £473k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,900

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,900

Yield

4.34%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

20 Poplar Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 70/100. Investment score 49/100 reflects below-average fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (50/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

70/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

49/ 100

Mixed

Crime Score

13/ 100

Low

Walkability

50/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 21Bike 53

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -16.4% (HIGH), sold-comps -29.6%, £/sqft -29.7%] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 550844· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 9 comps, dispersion 19.9%· as of 4 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.3%; range width penalty ×0.88
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1900/mo (range 1750-2050)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -948/mo, -50% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 56 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
330 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£394,000£604,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£525,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,900/mo

Evidenced range £1,750-£2,050

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £175,050
Net cash flow: -£456/mo
Cash on cash: -3.1%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.07 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 550844Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 9 comps, dispersion 19.9%Valuation edge · as of 4 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1900/mo (range 1750-2050)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1900/mo (range 1750-2050)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 56 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£451,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,900

Gross Yield4.34%

1y Growth+7.5%

3y Growth+0.8%

5y Growth+1.6%

10y Growth+2.9%

Last Sold Price£425,000 (2024-05-03)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0BS30 5JU

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P26/02383/OHLE
The removal of the current overhead line between 79NACF3 to 79NACF5 to be replaced by an underground section and two new terminal installations with supporting stay wires. In addition to this some works to the existing LV network are proposed between T4/285 and T4/286, including the addition of a new terminal pole and supporting stays.
Pending
P26/02380/OHLE
Application for consent under Section 37 of the Electricity Act 1989 for the removal of the current overhead line between 79GUGA7B to 79GUGA7A to be replaced by an underground section and two new terminal installations with supporting stay wires.
Pending
P26/02330/TRE
Works to 1 No. Whitebeam (Tree 0004) to end weight reduce over extended limb with small pocket of early decay by 1m. Covered by Tree Preservation Order 1152 dated 7 October 2024.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership72.5%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2024-05-03
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

6 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,002

Population Density-

Owner Occupied77%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 65%65+ 16%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Barnabas Church of England Primary School
0.0 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Neptune School
0.1 mi
Good
Redfield Edge Primary School
0.5 mi
Inspected as Redfield Edge Primary School (URN 109011) on 7 Dec 2022
Warmley Park School
0.5 mi
Good

4 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

18 Poplar Road
-
£425k
-
36 Poplar Road
-
£287k
-
20 Poplar Road
-
£425k
-
48 Poplar Road
-
£385k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN