137 Lodge Causeway, Bristol, BS16 3JY

UPRN:55629-Beds -Built 1900-1929

Tenure: -Council Tax: Band BEPC: D (67)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£313,000

£282k - £345kMedium

Estimate

£313k

Range

£282k – £345k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,850

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,850

Yield

6.08%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

137 Lodge Causeway earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 68/100. Investment score 53/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is good (79/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

68/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

53/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

44/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

79/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 25Bike 69

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 30 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-0.6/15
claims [AVM -16.6% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge -0.12pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 55629· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics8.5/40
gross yield 6.1%; range width penalty ×0.98
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1850/mo (range 1750-1950)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -310/mo, -17% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 85 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 30 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
925 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£274,000£419,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£365,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,850/mo

Evidenced range £1,750-£1,950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £119,050
Net cash flow: £49/mo
Cash on cash: 0.5%
Score at this price: 21

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.50 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 55629Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1850/mo (range 1750-1950)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 30 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1850/mo (range 1750-1950)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 85 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£313,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,850

Gross Yield6.08%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.0%

5y Growth+2.5%

10y Growth+3.8%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0BS16 3JY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/13697/X
Application for variation or removal of Condition Nos. 2(renewable energy) 3(Solar panels) 8 (List of approved plans and drawings) following grant of planning permission 22/04466/F (Conversion of existing dwelling to form a 1-person, 1 bedroom flat and 2-bedroom, 3-person maisonette by conversion of ground floor garage store area in living space.)
Pending
26/13657/CP
Application for a Lawful Development Certificate for a Proposed Garage conversion.
Rejected
26/13631/H
Erection of a single-storey detached annexe.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership75.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease Type-
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

14 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£34,051

Population Density4,586 /km²

Owner Occupied65%

Age Distribution

0-15 21%16-64 67%65+ 12%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Chester Park Infant School
0.1 mi
-
Chester Park Junior School
0.2 mi
Good
St Joseph's Catholic Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
St Matthias Academy
0.3 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

3 of 8 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

135 Lodge Causeway
-
£332k
-
151 Lodge Causeway
-
£268k
-
151 Lodge Causeway
-
£281k
-
Causeway Service Station Lodge Causeway
-
£522k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN