11 Fairford Crescent, Patchway, Bristol, BS34 6DH

UPRN:558250Semi-Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (73)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 5mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

11 Fairford Crescent, Patchway, Bristol, BS34 6DH

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£473,000

£449k - £496kHigh

Estimate

£473k

Range

£449k – £496k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,000

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£3,000

Yield

8.00%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

11 Fairford Crescent earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 52/100. Investment score 52/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is limited (40/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

52/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

52/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

84/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

40/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 20Bike 51

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +4.9% (HIGH), sold-comps -8.4%, £/sqft -8.4%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 558250· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 14.2%· as of 31 Oct 2026
Rental economics24/40
gross yield 8.0%; range width penalty ×1.00
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3000/mo (range 2850-3150)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin5.9/30
stressed cash flow +177/mo, +6% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 40 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
410 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 70+ up to £360,000

£337,500£517,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£450,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,000/mo

Evidenced range £2,850-£3,150

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £148,800
Net cash flow: £558/mo
Cash on cash: 4.5%
Score at this price: 45

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.98 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 558250Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 14.2%Valuation edge · as of 31 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3000/mo (range 2850-3150)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3000/mo (range 2850-3150)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 40 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £360,000 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£473,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,000

Gross Yield8.00%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-2.0%

5y Growth+2.7%

10y Growth+3.9%

Last Sold Price£363,500 (2018-12-04)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1BS34 6DH

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P26/02463/F
Erection of a single storey side extension to form enlarged workshop and reception area for customers (Class B2) with associated works.
Pending
P26/02442/HH
Installation of 2.no rear dormers to facilitate loft conversion. Installation of bin/ bike store. (Resubmission of P26/00029/HH).
Pending
P26/02423/HH
Demolition of existing rear extension and erection of single storey rear extension to form additional living accommodation.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership66.7%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2018-12-04
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

7 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,002

Population Density2,897 /km²

Owner Occupied76%

Age Distribution

0-15 17%16-64 64%65+ 19%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Holy Family Catholic Primary School
0.1 mi
Good
Stoke Lodge Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
St Chad's Patchway CofE Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
SGS Pegasus School
0.4 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

3 of 14 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

25 Fairford Crescent
-
£467k
-
3 Fairford Crescent
-
£295k
-
7 Fairford Crescent
-
£365k
-
27 Fairford Crescent
-
£315k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN