The Cottage, Butt Lane, Thornbury, Bristol, BS35 1RA

UPRN:581826Detached HouseBeds -Built -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: E (41)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 2mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

The Cottage, Butt Lane, Thornbury, Bristol, BS35 1RA

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£467,000

£421k - £514kMedium

Estimate

£467k

Range

£421k – £514k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,450

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,450

Yield

4.64%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

The Cottage earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 57/100. Investment score 42/100 reflects below-average fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (15/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

57/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

42/ 100

Mixed

Crime Score

32/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

15/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 6Bike 19

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 20% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +19.7% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 581826· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.6%; range width penalty ×0.79; the estimate this rent rides on sits 20% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1450/mo (range 1300-1600)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 20% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -646/mo, -45% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 28 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
283 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£281,000£431,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£375,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,450/mo

Evidenced range £1,300-£1,600

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £122,550
Net cash flow: -£262/mo
Cash on cash: -2.6%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.15 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 581826Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1450/mo (range 1300-1600)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 20% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1450/mo (range 1300-1600)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 20% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£467,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,450

Gross Yield4.64%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.5%

5y Growth+1.3%

10y Growth+3.2%

Last Sold Price£245,000 (2004-09-20)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

4BS35 1RA

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

P26/02166/HH
Erection of single storey front extension to form utility room and porch canopy.
Pending
P26/02119/LB
Internal alterations to ground floor to demolish partition walls; remove 3no. doors and infill doorways; removal of 2no. hearths, and creation 1no. new doorway. Internal alterations to first floor to demolish sections of stud wall and glazed screen.
Pending
P26/02096/TRE
Works to 1no. Silver birch to Crown reduce by approximately 3 metres in height and 2 metres radial spread covered by Tree Preservation order SGTPO32/06 dated 13/03/2007
Conditions

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership72.2%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2004-09-20
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

13 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,002

Population Density-

Owner Occupied82%

Age Distribution

0-15 24%16-64 59%65+ 17%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Manorbrook Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
The Castle School
0.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
St Mary's Church of England Primary School, Thornbury
0.6 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Christ The King Catholic Primary School, Thornbury
0.7 mi
Good

3 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

3 Ringtail Gardens
-
£680k
-
1 Ringtail Gardens
-
£655k
-
2 Ringtail Gardens
-
£650k
-
3 Ringtail Gardens
-
£645k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN