16 Headley Avenue, Wallington, SM6 8NQ

UPRN:5870098892End Terrace House3 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: -

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 2mo agoOwnership· freshRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£619,000

£557k - £681kMedium

Estimate

£619k

Range

£557k – £681k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,550

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,550

Yield

5.32%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

16 Headley Avenue earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 79/100. Investment score 58/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is good (76/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

79/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

58/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

76/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 49Bike 52

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 11 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +7.1% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5870098892· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics2.1/40
gross yield 5.3%; range width penalty ×0.81
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2550/mo (range 2300-2800)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -682/mo, -27% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 11 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 282 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 11 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
312 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£431,000£661,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£575,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,550/mo

Evidenced range £2,300-£2,800

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £192,550
Net cash flow: -£175/mo
Cash on cash: -1.1%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.31 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5870098892Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2550/mo (range 2300-2800)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 11 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 11 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2550/mo (range 2300-2800)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 282 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£619,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,550

Gross Yield5.32%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.3%

5y Growth+0.1%

10y Growth+2.3%

Last Sold Price£239,950 (2003-11-21)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningModerate
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1SM6 8NQ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/03071/DISC
Discharge of condition 4 (Habitat management and monitoring plan) attached to planning permission 26/01322/FUL for the erection of a part two storey, part single storey rear extension, double storey side extension and a rear dormer along with the installation of rooflights, together with the subdivision of the property to create 2 x 3 bed flats, 2 x 1 bed flats and 3 x studio flats (part retrospective).
Pending
DM2026/01244
Confirmation that the approved alterations granted within DM2026/00999 do not constitute 'development' and can therefore be carried out without the requirement of further planning approvals.
Pending
DM2026/01234
Conversion of loft space involving alterations to existing roofline, a dormer extension at rear, a window to flank roofslope and rooflight to front roofslope.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership58.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2003-11-21
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

6 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£38,359

Population Density7,905 /km²

Owner Occupied88%

Age Distribution

0-15 17%16-64 66%65+ 17%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Carew Academy
0.1 mi
Inspected as Carew Academy (URN 139722) on 15 Jan 2020
High View Primary School
0.3 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Harris Primary Academy Purley Way
0.3 mi
-
The Link School
0.3 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

2 of 9 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

21 Headley Avenue
-
£540k
-
1 Headley Avenue
-
£530k
-
3A Headley Avenue
-
£182k
-
3A Headley Avenue
-
£110k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN