Flat 1, Goodwood Lodge, 12 Church Paddock Court, Wallington, SM6 7AF

UPRN:5870110447Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (73)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 1, Goodwood Lodge, 12 Church Paddock Court, Wallington, SM6 7AF

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£297,000

£282k - £312kHigh

Estimate

£297k

Range

£282k – £312k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,600

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,600

Yield

5.49%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 1 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 65/100. Investment score 66/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is limited (52/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

65/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

66/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

53/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

52/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 22Bike 59

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 7 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -17.8% (HIGH), sold-comps -37.3%, £/sqft -37.4%] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5870110447· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 14.8%· as of 25 Oct 2026
Rental economics3.4/40
gross yield 5.5%; range width penalty ×0.89
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1450-1700)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -610/mo, -38% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 7 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
no listing-history inputs (first published date, price changes)
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
312 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£262,500£402,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£350,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,600/mo

Evidenced range £1,450-£1,700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £113,800
Net cash flow: -£74/mo
Cash on cash: -0.8%
Score at this price: 16

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.35 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5870110447Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 14.8%Valuation edge · as of 25 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1450-1700)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 7 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1600/mo (range 1450-1700)
Seller motivation could not be scored
no listing-history inputs (first published date, price changes)

Property risk deep-dive →flood, subsidence, crime, environment - the full domain

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£297,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,600

Gross Yield5.49%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.3%

5y Growth+0.1%

10y Growth+2.3%

Last Sold Price£280,000 (2022-02-14)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningSignificant
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SM6 7AF

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

DM2026/01197
Conversion of loft space involving alterations to existing roofline and first floor roof extension, a dormer extension at rear, a window to flank roofslope and rooflights to front roofslope.
Pending
26/03000/AUT
Change of use of the existing retail warehouse (Use Class E) to form an Ambulance Hub (Sui Generis), including refurbishment and reconfiguration of the existing building providing replacement cladding, roof and openings, fleet maintenance facilities, staff welfare and office accommodation, ambulance and operational vehicle parking, fuel storage and associated infrastructure, formation of new vehicular accesses, landscaping and all other associated works (Consultation by the London Borough of Sutton).
Pending
DM2026/01171
Erection of an outbuilding.
Pending

View Planning Timeline