15 Winchester Mews, Worcester Park, KT4 8QL

UPRN:5870127939Semi-Detached House2 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: B (87)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

15 Winchester Mews, Worcester Park, KT4 8QL

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£561,000

£533k - £589kHigh

Estimate

£561k

Range

£533k – £589k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,300

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,300

Yield

5.52%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 Winchester Mews earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 79/100. Investment score 69/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (59/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

79/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

69/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

12/ 100

Low

Walkability

59/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 38Bike 51

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 9 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +10.9% (HIGH), sold-comps +9.3%, £/sqft +9.3%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5870127939· as of 10 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 3.8%· as of 1 Nov 2026
Rental economics3.4/40
gross yield 5.5%; range width penalty ×0.81
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2300/mo (range 2100-2550)· as of 10 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -549/mo, -24% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 42 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
237 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£375,000£575,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£500,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,300/mo

Evidenced range £2,100-£2,550

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £166,300
Net cash flow: -£95/mo
Cash on cash: -0.7%
Score at this price: 20

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.36 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5870127939Valuation edge · as of 10 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 3.8%Valuation edge · as of 1 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2300/mo (range 2100-2550)Rental economics · as of 10 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 9 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2300/mo (range 2100-2550)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 42 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£561,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,300

Gross Yield5.52%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.5%

5y Growth+2.2%

10y Growth+2.5%

Last Sold Price£475,000 (2021-06-29)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0KT4 8QL

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

CLC2026/00202
Application to clear condition 4 (Biodiversity Enhancement and Management Plan) of approved application DM2021/02555.
Pending
CLC2026/00201
Application to clear condition 3 (CLP) of approved application DM2021/02555.
Pending
DM2026/01216
Application to vary condition 1 (approved drawings) and 3 of planning permission ref:DM2026/00238 for the ''Erection of a single storey rear extension and part conversion of the garage to a habitable room.'' to allow for alterations to the fenestrations and an increase in the patio height.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership64.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2021-06-29
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

9 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£38,359

Population Density6,455 /km²

Owner Occupied86%

Age Distribution

0-15 20%16-64 60%65+ 20%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Cecilia's Catholic Primary School
0.1 mi
Inspected as St Cecilia's Catholic Primary School (URN 102993) on 29 Nov 2023
Brookways School
0.3 mi
Good
Dorchester Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
Brookfield Primary Academy
0.4 mi
Inspected as Brookfield Primary School (URN 102977) on 7 May 2015

4 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

14 Winchester Mews
-
£535k
-
5 Winchester Mews
-
£635k
-
8 Winchester Mews
-
£500k
-
6 Winchester Mews
-
£590k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN