15 Northcroft Avenue, South Elmsall, Pontefract, WF9 2UW

UPRN:63081258Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: D (68)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· freshRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

$15 Northcroft Avenue, South Elmsall, Pontefract, WF9 2UW$

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£223,000

£212k - £234kHigh

Estimate

£223k

Range

£212k – £234k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,400

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,400

Yield

6.00%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 Northcroft Avenue earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 63/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (54/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

63/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

31/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

54/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 39Bike 32

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -25.6% (HIGH)] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 63081258· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics7.9/40
gross yield 6.0%; range width penalty ×0.99
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1400/mo (range 1300-1450)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -282/mo, -20% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 32 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
398 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£210,000£322,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£280,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,400/mo

Evidenced range £1,300-£1,450

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £89,300
Net cash flow: £24/mo
Cash on cash: 0.3%
Score at this price: 21

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.48 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 63081258Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1400/mo (range 1300-1450)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1400/mo (range 1300-1450)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 32 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£223,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,400

Gross Yield6.00%

1y Growth-9.1%

3y Growth+1.1%

5y Growth+1.6%

10y Growth+3.0%

Last Sold Price£130,000 (2015-11-04)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0WF9 2UW

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01842/FUL
Change of use of a Flat (Use Class C3) at first and second floor to Aesthetic Clinic (Use Class E)
Pending
26/01783/GPD
Single storey rear extension with a maximum projection of 4m, a maximum height of 4m, and a maximum eaves height of 2.9m.
Pending
26/01749/GPD
Single storey rear extension with a maximum projection of 6m, a maximum height of 4m, and a maximum eaves height of 2.9m.
Pending

View Planning Timeline