The Old Bakehouse, Llancarfan, Barry, CF62 3AT

UPRN:64001494Detached House4 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: F (36)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

The Old Bakehouse, Llancarfan, Barry, CF62 3AT

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: AVOID, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Significant risk factors

Evidence

15 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,025,000

£922k - £1.13MMedium

Estimate

£1.02M

Range

£922k – £1.13M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,650

£3k - £4k

Monthly

£3,650

Yield

5.15%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

The Old Bakehouse earns an AVOID rating with HP Score 67/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

67/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

60/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 17% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +17.1% (MEDIUM), sold-comps -4.8%, £/sqft -4.8%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 64001494· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 9.5%· as of 24 Oct 2026
Rental economics0.9/40
gross yield 5.2%; range width penalty ×0.73; the estimate this rent rides on sits 17% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3650/mo (range 3200-4050)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 17% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,033/mo, -28% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 58 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
491 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£637,500£977,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£850,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,650/mo

Evidenced range £3,200-£4,050

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £288,800
Net cash flow: -£342/mo
Cash on cash: -1.4%
Score at this price: 14

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.27 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 64001494Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 9.5%Valuation edge · as of 24 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3650/mo (range 3200-4050)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 17% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3650/mo (range 3200-4050)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 17% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,025,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,650

Gross Yield5.15%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.6%

5y Growth+3.2%

10y Growth+4.2%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

-CF62 3AT

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

2024/01054/FUL
Retrospective application to retain two stable blocks and a storage container for agricultural and equine purposes
Approved
2024/00653/FUL
Attic conversion to provide new bedroom and bathroom accomadation, existing eaves and ridge levels to be raised accordingly, new solar panel system to be integrated into re configured roof provision of bio-diversity enhancements.
Approved
2024/00599/TCA
Work to Tree in Llancarfan Conservation Area: T1 - Removal of one Hawthorn Tree
Approved

View Planning Timeline