55 Caer Worgan, Llantwit Major, CF61 2SP

UPRN:64007588Semi-Detached PropertyBeds -Built 1996-2002

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (73)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

55 Caer Worgan, Llantwit Major, CF61 2SP

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

15 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£305,000

£290k - £320kHigh

Estimate

£305k

Range

£290k – £320k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£950

£850 - £1k

Monthly

£950

Yield

4.75%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

55 Caer Worgan earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 78/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

78/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +21.3% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 64007588· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics9.4/40
gross yield 6.2% on contractual rent (listing-disclosed tenancy); contractual 2000/mo far above the 950/mo estimate - credited at the 1.3x cap, verify
- listing_factscontractual rent 2000/mo (tenanted)· as of 2 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -235/mo, -19% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 31 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
101 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£180,000£276,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£240,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£950/mo

Evidenced range £850-£1,100

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £75,600
Net cash flow: -£152/mo
Cash on cash: -2.4%
Score at this price: 24

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.17 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 64007588Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
listing_factscontractual rent 2000/mo (tenanted)Rental economics · as of 2 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
contractual rent 2000/mo (tenanted)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 31 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£305,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£950

Gross Yield4.75%

1y Growth-18.7%

3y Growth+1.8%

5y Growth+3.8%

10y Growth+4.3%

Last Sold Price£170,000 (2007-05-04)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

-CF61 2SP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

2024/00598/1/CD
Discharge of Condition 3. (Materials Details) for planning ref 2024/00598/FUL - Proposed side extension with small pitched roof dormer and balcony to one elevation and single storey extension to opposite elevation to existing domestic dwellinghouse at Bridge House Farm, Llanmaes Road, Llanmaes
Approved
2024/01112/FUL
Change of use of the building from B8 to D2 for the use of local sports clubs including Archery, Rugby and Football.
Rejected
2024/01084/FUL
Proposed single storey rear extension, with renewed flat roof and insertion of roof windows to existing rear single storey structure, insertion of roof lights to front and rear roof structure, and fenestration alterations to the side and rear elevations, with all associated external works.
Approved

View Planning Timeline