23 Suran y Gog, Barry, CF63 1FT

UPRN:64014422Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: D (62)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£424,000

£403k - £445kHigh

Estimate

£424k

Range

£403k – £445k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,800

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,800

Yield

5.08%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

23 Suran y Gog earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 80/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

80/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

17/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.2% (HIGH), sold-comps -37.1%, £/sqft -37.2%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 64014422· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 13.3%· as of 31 Oct 2026
Rental economics0.6/40
gross yield 5.1%; range width penalty ×0.87
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1800/mo (range 1650-1950)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -600/mo, -33% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 168 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
239 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£319,000£488,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£425,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,800/mo

Evidenced range £1,650-£1,950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £140,050
Net cash flow: -£188/mo
Cash on cash: -1.6%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.25 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 64014422Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 13.3%Valuation edge · as of 31 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1800/mo (range 1650-1950)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1800/mo (range 1650-1950)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 168 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£424,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,800

Gross Yield5.08%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.0%

5y Growth+4.2%

10y Growth+4.7%

Last Sold Price£286,000 (2021-04-28)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

-CF63 1FT

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

2026/00285/FUL
Variation of Condition 2 (Approved Plans) of Planning Approval 2023/00438/FUL: Demolition of existing garage to create new single storey side and rear extension
Approved
2024/01115/FUL
Retrospective planning application for a Garden Fence post the removal of Conifer Hedgerow.
Rejected
2024/01095/FUL
Additional Storey to Side
Approved

View Planning Timeline