Flat 15, Glan Hafren, Maes-y-Coed, Barry, CF62 6TA

UPRN:64020460Purpose Built Flat1 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (76)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 15, Glan Hafren, Maes-y-Coed, Barry, CF62 6TA

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: AVOID, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Significant risk factors

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£183,000

£174k - £192kHigh

Estimate

£183k

Range

£174k – £192k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£800

£750 - £850

Monthly

£800

Yield

4.66%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 15 earns an AVOID rating with HP Score 81/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

81/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

8/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 28 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -12.6% (HIGH)] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 64020460· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.7%; range width penalty ×0.95
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 800/mo (range 750-850)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -438/mo, -55% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 28 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 68 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 28 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
491 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£154,500£237,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£206,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£800/mo

Evidenced range £750-£850

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £64,720
Net cash flow: -£141/mo
Cash on cash: -2.6%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.15 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 64020460Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 800/mo (range 750-850)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 28 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 28 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 800/mo (range 750-850)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 68 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£183,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£800

Gross Yield4.66%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.6%

5y Growth+3.2%

10y Growth+4.2%

Last Sold Price£79,000 (2002-10-02)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

-CF62 6TA

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

2024/01143/FUL
2 storey extension to rear, front porch and small side extension
Approved
2024/01122/RG3
Installation of 8.76m high bird and bat nesting tower
Approved
2024/01088/FUL
Proposed single and double-storey rear extension, along with the installation of photovoltaic (PV) panels on the garage roof and the main dwelling roof.
Approved

View Planning Timeline