50 Ffordd y Spitfire, St. Athan, Barry, CF62 4HL

UPRN:64115593Semi-Detached House2 bedsBuilt 2023

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: B (83)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

50 Ffordd y Spitfire, St. Athan, Barry, CF62 4HL

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£335,000

£268k - £402kLow

Estimate

£335k

Range

£268k – £402k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,600

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,600

Yield

8.00%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

50 Ffordd y Spitfire earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 76/100. Investment score 74/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

76/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

74/ 100

High

Crime Score

19/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 28% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [sold-comps +3.6%, £/sqft +3.8%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; AVM excluded (estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor)
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 4.8%· as of 4 Nov 2026
Rental economics22.8/40
gross yield 8.0%; range width penalty ×0.95; the estimate this rent rides on sits 28% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1500-1700)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 28% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin2.1/30
stressed cash flow +34/mo, +2% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 65 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity9.2/15
491 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 40%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£180,000£276,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£240,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,600/mo

Evidenced range £1,500-£1,700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £75,600
Net cash flow: £298/mo
Cash on cash: 4.7%
Score at this price: 37

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.98 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 4.8%Valuation edge · as of 4 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1500-1700)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 28% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1600/mo (range 1500-1700)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 28% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£335,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,600

Gross Yield8.00%

1y Growth+48.9%

3y Growth+1.6%

5y Growth+3.2%

10y Growth+4.2%

Last Sold Price£224,995 (2023-06-30)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

-CF62 4HL

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

2025/00810/FUL
Removal of front elevation dormer (unauthorised) and proposed replacement (x2) dormers with Juliet balconies
Approved
2024/01148/TPO
Work to Tree covered by TPO No.12 of 2003: 1x Grey Alder situated on the adopted highway - Slight Crown lift and cut back from property
Approved
2023/00949/1/CD
Discharge of Condition 5.(Great Crested Newt) for planning ref 2023/00949/FUL - Demolition of buildings including the removal of hazardous materials, foundations and associated utility disconnections, reprofiling of land and erection of bat house mitigation and associated landscaping at Land to the East of Aston Martin Lagonda and West of Cowbridge Road, Bro Tathan, St. Athan.
Approved

View Planning Timeline