10 Julius Close, Emersons Green, Bristol, BS16 7HN

UPRN:643549Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 2003-2006

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: C (77)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

10 Julius Close, Emersons Green, Bristol, BS16 7HN

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£219,000

£208k - £230kHigh

Estimate

£219k

Range

£208k – £230k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,200

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,200

Yield

6.70%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

10 Julius Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 79/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (62/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

79/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

62/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 14Bike 60

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 27 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge1.8/15
claims [AVM +1.8% (HIGH), sold-comps +2.3%, £/sqft +2.2%] → measured edge +0.36pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 643549· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 19.9%· as of 19 Oct 2026
Rental economics12.9/40
gross yield 6.7%; range width penalty ×0.95
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1200/mo (range 1150-1300)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -155/mo, -13% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 27 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 238 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 27 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
925 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£161,000£247,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£215,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,200/mo

Evidenced range £1,150-£1,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £67,600
Net cash flow: £105/mo
Cash on cash: 1.9%
Score at this price: 29

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.65 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 643549Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 19.9%Valuation edge · as of 19 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1200/mo (range 1150-1300)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 27 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 27 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1200/mo (range 1150-1300)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£219,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,200

Gross Yield6.70%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.0%

5y Growth+2.5%

10y Growth+3.8%

Last Sold Price£175,000 (2016-03-31)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseBelow 40 dB

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0BS16 7HN

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P26/02474/HH
Erection of single storey link extension to existing detached garage to form ancillary annexe.
Pending
DOC26/00394
Discharge of condition 2 (construction - trees) attached to planning permission P26/01401/HH. Construction of an outbuilding for ancillary accommodation.
Pending
P26/02399/HH
Installation of 2.4m fence. (Retrospective).
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership75.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2016-03-31
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

21 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,002

Population Density2,353 /km²

Owner Occupied47%

Age Distribution

0-15 25%16-64 70%65+ 5%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Mangotsfield Church of England Primary School
0.2 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Emersons Green Primary School
0.3 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Barley Close Community Primary School
0.6 mi
Requires improvementConcerns
Lyde Green Primary School
0.7 mi
Good

6 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

6 Julius Close
-
£280k
-
3A Julius Close
-
£325k
-
4A Julius Close
-
£291k
-
15 Julius Close
-
£198k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN